sighsnootles's picture

sighsnootles

image

poll puts grits ahead - time to dump harper?

i just got this off the sympatico.ca news server...

 

Liberals edge ahead of Conservatives, says poll


The Liberals have pulled ahead of the Conservatives in national voter support, propelled by surging numbers in Quebec where they have virtually tied the Bloc Quebecois, according to a new Strategic Counsel poll.

The survey, conducted May 6-8 for CTV and the Globe and Mail, shows the Liberals with a slight lead across the country.

initializeArticleBodyFontSize()

Here are the national results (difference between 2008 federal election results in brackets):

  • Liberals: 35 per cent (+9)
  • Conservatives: 30 per cent (-8)
  • NDP: 16 per cent (-2)
  • Green Party: 11 per cent (+4)
  • Bloc Quebecois: 9 per cent (-1)

Support for the Liberals has grown steadily since a Dec. 3 poll, when the party was at a low of 24 per cent. Meanwhile, the Conservatives have bled support since that poll, when they had a high of 45 per cent.

"This poll, and other polls, are probably ensuring there won't be an early election," Peter Donolo of the Strategic Counsel told CTV.ca Monday.

The Liberals would need the support of the NDP and Bloc to bring down the government, but the poll suggests those parties -- especially the Bloc -- lack enough voter support for a successful outcome.

Quebec has seen the biggest change, with the Tories sinking 13 per cent since the last election:

  • Bloc Quebecois: 39 per cent (-1)
  • Liberals: 37 per cent (+13)
  • Conservatives: 9 per cent (-13)
  • NDP: 9 per cent (-3)
  • Green Party: 8 per cent (+4)

Donolo said the last few months have shown a trend where the Bloc is slowly losing potential votes to the added benefit of the Liberals. The gap between the two parties hasn't been so small since at least 2003, he said.

"They're not down compared to their election results, but over the last few months they've been trending down," he told CTV.ca. "And the Tories are back to where they were before the 2006 election, which is nowhere"

 

 

so, for me the question is...

 

WHEN ARE THE TORIES GOING TO GET RID OF HARPER AS LEADER?!?!? 

Share this

Comments

Pinga's picture

Pinga

image

heh sigh....i have a forum

heh sigh....i have a forum question for you....does this title take up 5 lines in the "recently active" frame for you?  I know I have frame issues, so it could be resizing yours, but not mine.   Just thinkin' that if it does, maybe you could shorten the title..

 

now back to the topic **********************************************************

 

I doubt they will blame the leader, or that their leader will allow enough discension  (?) to occur to actually do anything about it.

graeme's picture

graeme

image

I wish I could cheer. But

I wish I could cheer. But Ignatieff IS Harper.

graeme

sighsnootles's picture

sighsnootles

image

Pinga wrote: heh sigh....i

Pinga wrote:

heh sigh....i have a forum question for you....does this title take up 5 lines in the "recently active" frame for you?  I know I have frame issues, so it could be resizing yours, but not mine.   Just thinkin' that if it does, maybe you could shorten the title..

 

whoops... sorry about that!!

 

done.  is that better, pinga??

Pinga's picture

Pinga

image

much better, thanks sigh!

much better, thanks sigh!

Birthstone's picture

Birthstone

image

Graeme - is Ignatieff just

Graeme - is Ignatieff just like Harper, on everything?  I don't think he is as socially conservative.    I feel like his economic perspective is very similar, and he'll play the solid-economy card over improving lives of poor/disabled etc most times. 

What about his green policies?  I know they have shelved any interest with the Green Party. 

Do we get to see a new policy outline anytime soon?

****

Harper needs to go, but I am leery of another election right now.  At least there are ample signs that the Conservatives seem to think Harper's time is gone.  I'd love to see action on that front.  Will they let him fight another election? 

Actually, I'm feeling out of touch lately with what Ignatieff is up to.

sighsnootles's picture

sighsnootles

image

another interesting thing i

another interesting thing i note is that the support for the green party is up 4 points to 11%...  is that a high for them as well??

 

on a related note, i'm going to be on a panel at the ottawa tulip festival tomorrow with elizabeth may herself... the panel is on what we can do as individuals to help the environment... here is a link to the festival programme here...

 

http://www.tulipfestival.ca/en/general_schedule.html

 

i guess i can ask her that question myself, eh??  LOL!!!

Birthstone's picture

Birthstone

image

I think 12% is Green's high,

I think 12% is Green's high, but that is good - I wonder if it reflects the Lib's move away from the Green shift.

Please do ask her!! That is cool!  She has my support.

revjohn's picture

revjohn

image

Hi

Hi Sighsnootles,

 

sighsnootles wrote:

WHEN ARE THE TORIES GOING TO GET RID OF HARPER AS LEADER?!?!? 

 

Shooting yourself in the foot (being stupid) is something one can survive.  Shooting yourself in the head (being very stupid) has dubious results.

 

When Dion was done as the Liberal Leader you could look at the Liberal party and name several successors.

 

Can the same be done for the Conservative Party?

 

So Stevie falls on his sword (or is pushed--who cares) who is plan B?  Day? MacKay?  Toews?  Ablonczy?  Ritz?

 

Why do you think that Harper has had a gag order on most of these clowns?

 

If any one of them sounding off could cost him his place as Prime Minister none sure as heck offer an alternative that is anywhere near attractive.

 

Grace and peace to you.

John

sighsnootles's picture

sighsnootles

image

LOL @ revjohn...   heck, one

LOL @ revjohn...

 

heck, one of trudeaus kids is heading into the liberal party... maybe the tories should sit down with ben mulroney, eh?!?!? 

 

ROTFLMAO!!!

preecy's picture

preecy

image

-What I never understand is

-What I never understand is why the NDP is not more popular in Quebec.  It just seems to boggle my mind.  The left wing province in Canada (in terms of social programs) and they hyave only elected what one NDP MP?  Randomness I know but no where else to put it.

Peace

Joel

GordW's picture

GordW

image

HArper has, I think, one more

HArper has, I think, one more chance.  Another election without a majority and the knives will be openly sharpened (I have no doubt that there is some quiet honing happening already). 

 

I still regret that the rough and tumble of politics did in Dion.  I liked his policy approach, I liked the Carbon Tax, I liked the fact that he is a Trudeau-Federalist.  BUt, like Joe Clark, he truly was not cut out for the reality of being a party leader.  Ignatieff?  I could leave him by the wayside policy-wise.  But he is certainly much more able in the thrust and parry of politics.

 

preecy, I think the reason teh NDP has never gained a foothold in Quebec is that traditionally the leftist vote has gone with the sovereigntist movement (BQ and PQ). 

 

 

graeme's picture

graeme

image

Harper has principles. I

Harper has principles. I don't like them, and he'll certainly compromise them. but he does have principles. Ignatieff just wants to be in power. It is a part of the outlook of the social class  he grew up in. He has a right to be n power because - well, because... He also has an understanding limited to the social circle he grew up with, a sort of feudal aristocracy who govern the poor for their own good. Along with that, he has a record of getting ahead by serving the interests of the rich and powerful. Like Harper. Like Chretien. Like Martin. Certainly like Mulroney - though he doesn't have sleaze written all over him as Mulroney does. His strong suit is that he has more political brains that Harper - though I'm not at all sure that will hold up.

What's really worrisome here is that harper and the conservatives haven't shown much of anything - and Harper is not a cuddly figure - but the other parties can scarcely be said to be taking off into high flight. The liberals have only inched along the see saw, and the others have scarcely done even that. One certainly gets the impession candians don't see much to cheer for anywhere.

graeme

revjohn's picture

revjohn

image

Hi

Hi sighsnootles,

 

sighsnootles wrote:

maybe the tories should sit down with ben mulroney, eh?!?!? 

 

I sincerely hope that Ben is smarter than that.

 

I'm no fan of his dad.  I don't think Ben needs to be offered up as an atoning sacrifice.

 

Grace and peace to you.

John

 

Birthstone's picture

Birthstone

image

***pondering*** ... I'm glad

***pondering***

...

I'm glad we aren't rushing to an election, because I think, given everyone's lack of  passion for our politicians, the main result will be a pissed-off, irritated electorate that won't show up. 

Wonderingg's picture

Wonderingg

image

Agreed Birthstone. Last

Agreed Birthstone. Last election was one of the lowest voter turnouts ever and to force an election now may be even less well recieved.

 

Harper is not my favourite person in the world, but Ignatieff is arrogant and not the sharpest knife in the drawer. If the NDPs ever gained power they would run the country into the ground in 5 years, and the Green party, while well-meaning and principled, are a bunch of morons. The Bloc, well, obviously not the best choice for Canada.

 

In my opinion, none of the party leaders are worth voting for, so I would suggest living with the status quo until there is someone worth supporting.

Way Out There's picture

Way Out There

image

Wonderingg wrote: Agreed

Wonderingg wrote:

Agreed Birthstone. Last election was one of the lowest voter turnouts ever and to force an election now may be even less well recieved.

 

Harper is not my favourite person in the world, but Ignatieff is arrogant and not the sharpest knife in the drawer. If the NDPs ever gained power they would run the country into the ground in 5 years, and the Green party, while well-meaning and principled, are a bunch of morons. The Bloc, well, obviously not the best choice for Canada.

 

In my opinion, none of the party leaders are worth voting for, so I would suggest living with the status quo until there is someone worth supporting.

 

Not one of the leaders wants an election right now and while the Tories have already made it clear, at least to those who follow politics closely, that they are looking to replace Harper before the next election (considering he wants to step down too) as he is unlikely to ever achieve a majority, there is no-one on the immediate horizon to replace him.

 

I disagree with your characterizations of the other three leaders, any one of whom would be far superior to Harper.  Yes, even Layton.  Ignatieff is quite probably the most intelligent leader of any Canadian political party in the last forty years or so; he's just terribly experienced in politics.  And he has a long way to go before he matches the arrogance of Harper.  Layton is passionate, but also desperate for some sort of power and Elizabeth May is a combination of all three: remarkably intelligent, passionate and conscientious and, unfortunately, somewhat politically naive.

 

The Green Party, if you'd take the time to study, is not a single-issue party, but a party that believes all issues are inter-connected and being pro-environment is being pro-economic growth, pro-social development and pro-cities, where the vast majority of Canadians now work and live.  Public transportation, green spaces and supremely improved living conditions are all on their agenda and while you may prefer to breathe smog-clogged air and dodge cars trying to cross wide highways to get to a dinky park, many of us want a far better lifestyle for ourselves and our children.

Free_thinker's picture

Free_thinker

image

I'm sorry graeme, but this is

I'm sorry graeme, but this is Ralph Nader-esque "no difference between Bush and Gore" nonsense.  It's what Layton to believe, that unless you're a social democrat you're wishy-washy liberal who is complicit with the neocons. 

 

Ignatieff may have taken certain positions that some on the left are upset with, but there a huge differences between his variety of liberalism and the neoconservatism of Tom Flanagan - Harper's mentor.  I don't see how anyone who has read any of Ignatieff's works can claim otherwise unless you want to use a single position he has taken - his (later regretted) support for the war in Iraq - to discredit several decades of otherwise stellar work in political theory, human rights, and journalism.

 

The big issue where Ignatieff gets hammered the most is interventionism, and it is here that he must be given credit for attempting to square liberalism with the realities of today's world.  Ignatieff was responding to the tendency of liberals and democrats to condemn human rights abuses on one end, and yet retreat to a knee-jerk post-60's isolationism when the topic of actually doing something about them militarily came up.  The apex of this contradiction was Rwanda, when liberal and social democratic politicians who are otherwise committed to civil liberties simply did nothing.  Ignatieff's works on intervention are an attempt forge an ethical approach to this issue, and it is his strand of liberal theory that deserves credit for giving us the Responsibility to Protect doctrine.  You can disagree with his conclusions, but it's highly disingenuous to pretend the issue he is addressing doesn't exist. 

 

The 1960's post-colonial isolationism simply isn't working anymore.  For example, the NDP can't decry intervention on one hand and yet demand that more be done about Darfur.  If you want to stop the bleeding, some kind of military intervention will be necerssary; if you're not prepared to go there, the  most principled thing to do is adapt an officially isolationist policy which explicitly states that genocide in Darfur or anywhere else does not concern us. 

 

As for attempting to discredit Ignatieff based on his social class, is this the best you can do?  So, anyone who has gone through UCC is automatically a power broker for that class?  There are no stellar Canadians to emerge from that school, people like Stephen Lewis or Timothy Findley?  You can hate inequality of opportunity in education but let's not deny that there are very talented individuals who emerge from these private schools, and as a country we're better off because of them.  Personally, I harbour no such resentment because I received an excellent education in the Toronto public school system and can hold my ground with any colleague from a private school.  As far as I'm concerned, we're in this together.  Ignatieff can't be reduced to his class because there are plenty of people who went to UCC who did not go on to achieve what he has. 

 

I was a delegate for Ignatieff at 2009 Convention and I don't buy any of this rhetoric.  Stephen Harper and Michael Ignatieff could not be further apart.  The former is a control freak who has surrounded himself by pygmies, people who can't stand up to him because they owe their fortunes entirely to his Leadership; Ignatieff spent his life in an environment where he is constanstly under fire, and he knows how to take criticism.  Look at his colleagues you see extremely talented individuals with big egos, the kinds of folks who wouldn't have qualms about raising their voices at the Leader in Cabinet meetings.  Look the steps the party has taken to open itself up to internal debate in the last Convention and once again, you see someone who isn't afraid of people disagreeing with him.  That in itself is a huge breath of fresh air after what we've seen for the past 3 years.  This kind of ideological dogmatism, it's quite un-Canadian and it's hopeful to look forward to a PM who doesn't see the world as one big battle between Good and Evil. 

 

This is an exciting time.  The Liberals are united and renewed just as the Tories are splitting up.  In the next election, Canadians will see a Leader of the Opposition who can outclass the PM in every way.  As for the NDP, I predict they will be reduced to their usual 4th-place rump status as the party that whined and whined about the Harper government but couldn't do anything to stop it.  Meanwhile, I'm stockpiling pop-corn for the Tory leadership which, without Harper, will be brutal. 

Wonderingg's picture

Wonderingg

image

Well...   I would indeed much

Well...

 

I would indeed much rather stick to breathing "smog-clogged" air than have the Green party in power. I understand that they are not a one-issue party, and unless I am mistaken, I don't believe that I insinuated that. I simply said that they were morons and I stand by that. As much as I would like a greener planet and to slow climate change, the economic plan of the Green party simply will not work. Unfortunately our planet runs on money not the "interconnectedness of the issues". Using "green" initiatives to promote economic development is like trying to build a house starting with roof. I suppose it's possbile but incredibly difficult and very stupid.

 

Our society is capitalistic and what it cares about is the bottom line. 9 times out of 10, doing the right thing for the environment ends up on the expense side of profit and loss, and 9 times out of 10 companies will only do the bare minimum. Of course they will brag about it, not to let you know that they care about the planet, but so you will think they are a "green" company and buy their products.

 

If the government forces environmentalism on industry they run the risk of having the companies put huge pressure on them or simply leave the country. If they leave the country as many have, they take jobs, tax dollars, and GDP with them and they only serve to pollute their new host countries at a far greater rate that they did in Canada. Once that happens, constituents begin to grumble about losing jobs and elect the "other guy" instead.

 

If you would do your research you would see that the Green party's plan has been rejected by economists. The cornerstone of their platform, the "carbon tax" is simply ridiculous. They plan to tax carbon emissions so highly that they would bankrupt several companies instantly. But wait! They plan to introduce financial incentives and measures to help companies move into the "post-carbon" era. But wait! Where do they get the money to do this? They plan to tax carbon emissions. etc... Since May has been holding hands with Ignatieff, the Liberals have made the carbon tax plan more realistic.

 

Having a green conscious party in power will have positive outcomes on the environmental situation, but the real power to force companies to change is the consumer. Government cannot match the spending power of the general populace. Whether or not a company becomes more planet friendly will be dictated by us.

 

To the other leaders, I do respect Jack Layton, but not the NDP party. In case you have forgotten, NDP governments (on the provincial level) had disastrous results with Rae in Ontario and Harcourt in BC. I also dislike the fact that unions have such a huge influence on the party.

 

Ignatieff... well, he acts entitled. I withhold judgement on his political acuity as a national party leader since there really isn't much to go on at this point.  It can be debated which of the two, Harper or Ignatieff, is the more arrogant. I think Harper is less arrogant and more wooden, ignorant, and stubborn.

Free_thinker's picture

Free_thinker

image

"If the government forces

"If the government forces environmentalism on industry they run the risk of having the companies put huge pressure on them or simply leave the country. "

This is simply not true.  In Canada, and the US, most forward-thinking businesses have come along.  It's our antiquated conservative politicians who are holding progress back.  Good businesses are realizing that the future is in green products.  In China, they're making an electric car that is more efficient than even the hybrids and can be mass produced quite cheaply.  If it takes off, this will fundamentally change the auto industry.  The same thing is happening in the energy sector, especially in China and South Korea, who realize that sustainable energy is not only good for the environment, it's good geopolitics in the long run.  He who controls energy....

 

Environmentalism doesn't have to require a dilemma between a good standard of living and sustainability.  Wealth is after all a subjective  measure.  If value corresponds to how green a product is, then we're getting somewhere.  The solutions that will get us to a more sustainable world exist, and are being created daily through the global economy's engine of innovation. 

graeme's picture

graeme

image

please.I never said Iggy was

please.I never said Iggy was aeo conservative or that he shared principles with Harper. In fact, I saud he had no discernable principles. My main was that he would play along with the rich and powerful - which is what he has done all his life. Think hard about his support for the Iraq war. Everybody with half a brain this was a war foroil, andbased on phony excuses. If Iggy believed that this had something to do with terrorism, hewould have to be stunningly stupid. And he'snot stupid.

 

graeme

Birthstone's picture

Birthstone

image

Wonderingg - I'm disagreeing

Wonderingg - I'm disagreeing also with you over the Green Party - Elizabeth May has done a great job at coming up throug the middle to win respect, and she dances circles around the others.  I think that the candidates are a long way from being taken seriously (yoga instructors wearing hemp clothes and birkenstocks, who haven't washed their hair for 3 days to save water) (ok - I made that up) but I recognize that they dont' easly fit the mainstream yet.  Hardly 'morons' but not credible enough yet to win.

Their policies are wonderful, even if you dont' think they work.  The reason they dont' hold up is only because some wealthy arrogant power-hungry people do anything to keep them from working.  It isn't because its a bad idea - in fact, they are the only good ideas floated around to see us through a new era of climate change & dwindling resources.  The 3 way plan -to measure all policies by financial, environmental & justice issues is the best, only way to make this world better & better.  Leaving out environment or justice might keep some powerful people richer longer, but it ain't right.  So thank goodness the Green Party keeps to their principles.  And I agree that I've seen a shift in priorities in business to Greenness - sure much of it is bull**** yet, but there has been a clear shift in public interest and business intention.

Anyway - the arrogance of Harper is his most distressing feature - by muzzling his party & the press, by controlling every little thing - that far outstrips (for me) any shortcomings of Ignatieff at this point, and also outstrips any postive features Harper himself has (like... um... um... yeah - nuthin).

However with things relatively quiet right now, and no real oomph from the Libs or otherwise, it isn't time for an election.  It's time for electioneering though.  Win us over!  Someone Puhleeeze!  Inspire us!!!

preecy's picture

preecy

image

For the record the NDP has

For the record the NDP has been the fiscally responsible government in Saskatchewan and Manitoba for decades.  If you want to judge a nation wide party by two governments well then what about Mulrooney and his deficit or Trudeau who started us on the path to deficit.  In SK we had the conservatives drive this province almost to bankruptcy.

Peace

Joel

sighsnootles's picture

sighsnootles

image

amen, preecy... i was just

amen, preecy... i was just going to say that.

 

to suggest that the NDP is a bunch of twits because ya didn't like 'em in ON or BC is ridiculous... the NDP has been pretty much the guiding light in SK. 

 

in fact, if provincial politics is going to be your ruler, then the tories are LOST... in SK, the tories don't even exist anymore, and people with tory leanings regrouped under the banner of the 'saskatchewan party'.   the tories ran the province into the ground.

graeme's picture

graeme

image

Funny how this popular image

Funny how this popular image of wild spending left wingers gets out there. In reality, across North American for the past sixty years at least, it's the right wing parties that have been the big spenders. In the US, check Reagan and Bush, for example. In Canada, it's generally the Conservatives.

graeme

 

Wonderingg's picture

Wonderingg

image

Sigh...   I guess I'm just

Sigh...

 

I guess I'm just jaded. As much as it would be easier for you all to paint me with the "right wing brush" because I don't applaud the left wing, if you'll read my post, I dislike all the parties and their leaders.

 

My only irritation with Wondercafe is that if someone DARE speak out against the left, they are instantly and irreversably branded a conservative...

 

Politics and hope, for me, are mutually exclusive.

Wonderingg's picture

Wonderingg

image

Free_thinker wrote: "If the

Free_thinker wrote:

"If the government forces environmentalism on industry they run the risk of having the companies put huge pressure on them or simply leave the country. "

This is simply not true.  In Canada, and the US, most forward-thinking businesses have come along.  It's our antiquated conservative politicians who are holding progress back.  Good businesses are realizing that the future is in green products.  In China, they're making an electric car that is more efficient than even the hybrids and can be mass produced quite cheaply.  If it takes off, this will fundamentally change the auto industry.  The same thing is happening in the energy sector, especially in China and South Korea, who realize that sustainable energy is not only good for the environment, it's good geopolitics in the long run.  He who controls energy....

 

 

Sadly, it is true. The world economy runs on, you guessed it, money. Energy is only valuable because it has value. Monetary value. Companies don't trade gasoline for beaver pelts and beads. Industry will ALWAYS seek the most profitable solution. If that is greener energy, then there will be a shift towards greener energy. If, however, it is not an environmentally responsible soultion and they can get away with it, they will.

 

sighsnootles's picture

sighsnootles

image

Wonderingg wrote: Sigh...   I

Wonderingg wrote:

Sigh...

 

I guess I'm just jaded. As much as it would be easier for you all to paint me with the "right wing brush" because I don't applaud the left wing, if you'll read my post, I dislike all the parties and their leaders.

 

My only irritation with Wondercafe is that if someone DARE speak out against the left, they are instantly and irreversably branded a conservative...

 

 

i didn't brand you  a conservative. 

Free_thinker's picture

Free_thinker

image

"My main was that he would

"My main was that he would play along with the rich and powerful - which is what he has done all his life."

 

I'm sorry graeme but this is intellectually dishonest.  You're reducing an intellectual's work to a single factor that I don't think is present.  Ignatieff is a brilliant academic in his own right, and he has held his ground among other academics who are not all friendly to the 'rich and powerful.'  Whatever help he may have gotten, it obviously doesn't account for the very real talent that he has shown.  And I doubt he's driven by money or power.  A person with his intelligence could have very well in the corporate sector or as a high-flying lawyer; instead, Ignatieff has spent his life writing, and that's what he would have probably continued doing until Keith Davies had the idea of drafting into the Liberal Party. 

preecy's picture

preecy

image

To be fair Free_thinker there

To be fair Free_thinker there is a general view among pundits right now that Ignatieff is fairly close to Harper on many (most-depends which pundits you listen to) and he has not taken a copntrary stand all the often.  EI was his first definitive stance.  Now I am all for giving him time to prove himself (unlike most did with Dion but that is beside the point).

Peace

Joel

graeme's picture

graeme

image

Ignatieff has consistently

Ignatieff has consistently trimmed his sails to please those who could do him the most good. Yes,  he has real ability. He has also been quite willing to bend what appeared to be his principles. I see no sign this is a man of consistent principle or a man who wants anything but recognition. And lots of it. He's not an unusualy type for the circle he grew up in, and for the political circle he aspires to. Mackenzie King was a gem of an example of the type.

graeme

Free_thinker's picture

Free_thinker

image

"He has also been quite

"He has also been quite willing to bend what appeared to be his principles."

 

With his biggest liability - Iraq - I just don't think that was the case.  His support for the war did not win him any friends and may have well cost him the 2007 Liberal Leadership race.  Now, did the war accord with his principles?  Based on what he argued, probably.  He approached the invasion with a mentality that was still haunted by Rwanda and re-affirmed by Bosnia; for liberals like him, removing Saddam was an extension of humanitarian interventionism.  This was a huge error of judgment but it's something that should not undo a lifetime of otherwise prescient judgment-calls.  Intellectuals should be held to the same standard as everyone else, but it's fresh that some of the intellectuals on the left who are criticizing Ignatieff over Iraq are the same people who for example support Hugo Chavez and the Bolivarian Revolution.  With Noam Chomsky, you have an entire laundry list of failed autocracies he has supported - beginning with the USSR.  The point isn't that their criticisms aren't valid, it's that even our most educated people make bad judgment calls when it comes to regimes in foreign countries.  No one school of thought has 'got it right' all the time.  Remember how the '68 student protesters in Paris thought Mao was a good guy?  Funny how that worked out...

 

 

Ignatieff was not the only person of his calibre to support the war.  Originally, quite a few people were willing to go along with it in the belief that the transition to power would be handled smoothly, buyoed by public opinion in Iraq.  If the Bush Administration had followed Powell's advice about enlisting more Allies and sending at least half a million troops to handle the post-invasion period, this may well have been the case.  Instead, what followed was a farce. 

graeme's picture

graeme

image

If ignatieff believed a word

If ignatieff believed a word of any of the reasons given for that war, it was not just an error of judgement. It was a stunning naievete at best, so stuning he should not be a playground crossing guard. If it was not stunning naivete - and I suspect it was not - then it was a calculated betrayal of any princiiple he ever claimed to stand for.

He did the same waffle, incidentally, on torture - though this was suppoedly at the core if his enlightened views.

When he recently visited Obama, he couldn't make the kissup more obvious. He raved about his friendliness to the US while criticizing the betrayals of Harper (In fact, their positions on Afghanistan are so similar, I hate writing positions in the plural.)

Are you seriously suggesting any people of any honesty and intelligence were misled about Bush's aims?  And public opinion would be on the US side? Really - given the US record of interference in ther region, the divisions in Iraqi thinking, the common sense of ordinary people who knew exactly why Bush was invading? As for the advice to get more allies, that was tried. Most potential allies were smart enough to say no.

BTW, if it is wrong to support Chavez and his revolution, t hen who would you support? Have you looked at the alternatives? Are you seriously suggesting Bolivia would be better off to revert to a government backed by oil, the US and the wealthy families.

?Similarly, in china, where was the choice? It was either Mao or it was another Chiang Kai shek - and Chiang took a back seat to nobody when it came to thuggery and murder.

graeme

Free_thinker's picture

Free_thinker

image

"If it was not stunning

"If it was not stunning naivete - and I suspect it was not - then it was a calculated betrayal of any princiiple he ever claimed to stand for."

I don't buy that because none of the 'rich and powerful' could help him get anywhere with his support for Iraq.  Quite the opposite: most of his colleagues at the Ivies opposed to the war, and his support for it opened him up to intense scrutiny.  In the one position of power he sought, the war was his greatest liability.  So, call him naive but there was no professional gain for Ignatieff in supporting the war.  He was already well-established by then, he earned no new friends and probably lost a few in the process

 

 

And re-read his article on torture.  He opposes it unconditionally. 

 

 

"BTW, if it is wrong to support Chavez and his revolution, t hen who would you support? Have you looked at the alternatives?"

 

 

I don't have to buy into this Bolshevik dilemma because Venezuela had a social democratic alternative in the same kinds of parties that are governing the rest of the Latin America pretty equitably so far.  Look at Brazil, Chile and Argentina: all of them are led by left-wing governments which have expanded the welfare state without destroying the foundations of democracy the way Chavez has done.  Just look at how Chavez is now turning on the very same labour movement whose goals he claims to be upholding. Why is that? 

 

 

The 'it's us or the imperialists' dilemma was posited by the Bolsheviks to excuse their buffet of horrors, as if Russia had no democratic alternative to the Tsar, as if the Bolsheviks were popular among the very people who got rid of Nicholas in the first place.  I don't have to choose between left-wing autocrats and right-wing autocrats; they both lead to governments which create similar results. 

 

graeme's picture

graeme

image

The ibies could not help

The ibies could not help Ignatieffwhere he wanted to go. For all the prestige there is no real power in the universities. He courted the power for where he wanted to go - and it was in courting that set, he backed off on his criticism of torture.

In his meeting with obama, he made it very clear, bootlicking clear,he supports the war in Afghanistan. That's the power he's courting, not the dons of the faculty clubs.  And typically, he supports it in a way calculated to hold the support of the conference of Canadian CEOs without alienating Canadian voters. While talking fullf support, he's backing off the combat role, and shifting to peacekeepiing.

As to Latin America, don't assume the democratic way can work in every situation. Look at what happened in Haiti. The US didn't like leftward tilt, so threw up all kinds of economic roadblocks, then supported a gang of thugs against the elected president. I don't know whether Chavez had much in the way of choices - but I know he faced considerable US opposition - with the help of the country's economic elite. Guatemala tried the democratic route in the early 50s. That brought them an invasion army of :"freedoom fighters" supported and praised by the US government, who promptly set up a dictatorship with American blessing.

I, too, would prefer democracies. But democracy can be terribly vulnerable and, indeed, impossible in some situations. El Salvador is a good example of the problems.

On Ignatieff, I look forward to seeing what sort of a platform gets drafted. That will be the deciding time. Until then, I'm very suspicious of that whole social circle he comes from. I h ave known too many of them, some of then Igantieffs, too well.

graeme

 

GRR's picture

GRR

image

For myself, I'm ready to see

For myself, I'm ready to see a changing of the guard. And the EI deal might just be enough. I'm not sure its true that the oppostion parties don't want an election. Both the Bloc and NDP stand to lose seats if the Liberals continue to climb, so its to their advantage to pull the trigger now. Harper has burned too many bridges for either Layton or Duceppe to trust him in any 'keep me in power" deal.  And the Liberals, while not in good shape, are putting in place the mechanisms that stood Obama in good stead last year - so they may not be quite as "unready" as one might think. On top of that, I agree with graeme. I think Ignatieff wants to be in power. And I don't think he wants to wait very long. I don't think that's necessarily a bad thing. 8-)

 

And Harper, by rolling out his attack ads, has already proven that he not only isn't interested in the "let's all work together" schtick he keeps spitting out of one side of his mouth, he seems to be demonstrating that he's lost his grip on reality. From what I've seen, the "just visiting" crap isn't working, and the ads actually work in Iggy's favour. Not all Canadians want to be led by guys who set policy at Timmies (and I like Timmies). Harper has never figured out that that is the real reason he can't get a majority. Not to mention that by claiming 80% of Canadians can get EI, a statistic so easily countered as to be laughable, he's alienating that very group.

 

He used to be a skilled tactician, but his day, like that of Bush, is past. Iggy isn't Dion.

 

as to principles - there was a time when I would agree that Harper exhibited that trait - especially since I was so opposed to most of them. No more. The guy has worn so many different masks since becoming Prime Minister, he must have a fetish for those old French masked balls. But at the end of the day, he always comes off as a dictatorial ideologue. Again, the day is past when it worked. 

Iggy does indeed shift as circumstances change, but I'm not sure that's a bad thing right now. Again, for me, I'm willing to give him a chance.

 

Which brings up the point of "voter turnout." I think it would be a mistake to say that last election's dismal showing was "voter apathy." I think it was more like "voter disgust." We didn't want a Conservative majority, and we didn't think Dion had the cahones to handle the country. There just aren't enough people who can imagine a federal NDP gov't working (rightly or wrongly) So we stayed home.

 

I doubt that will happen this time around.

 

graeme's picture

graeme

image

I agree completely with the

I agree completely with the analysis above. And it doesn't cheer me at all to say so.

graeme

Free_thinker's picture

Free_thinker

image

Check out the new attack-ad

Check out the new attack-ad site the Tories have rolled out, ignatieff.me, whose domain they had to buy off a Montenegrin pornographer.  It's so over-the-top, it makes the Tories look ridiculous.  I wouldn't be surprised if the site turns out to be the work of an undercover Liberal strategist. 

 

Here are a few gems:

"Whether he's on the cover of GQ magazine, singing opera or just drinking coffeee, Canadians wonder what makes Michael Ignatieff tick."

Ignatieff has appeared on the cover of a fashion magazine!  Well, that's one possibility we wont have to entertain with the current PM.  What's more, Ignatieff drinks coffee!  We can't possibly trust a coffee-drinker who listens to opera to understand our problems. 

 
"When you're a Harvard professor it could be hard to understand Canadians. And the view from a Yorkville condo is not the same as the view from Yarmouth or the Yukon."

Yes, because folks from Yarmouth and the Yukon are a bunch of yobs who hate educated people (especially ones from Harvard) and think Trailer Park Boys is the epitome of Canadian high culture.  Is that who Stephen Harper's campaign team take us for?

Motheroffive's picture

Motheroffive

image

sighsnootles wrote: to

sighsnootles wrote:

to suggest that the NDP is a bunch of twits because ya didn't like 'em in ON or BC is ridiculous... the NDP has been pretty much the guiding light in SK. 

 

 

Yes, and all that crap about our (BC) economy tanking because of the NDP governments in the 90s is just that. This article from The Tyee called BC's Economy: Whose Was Best? tells a different story than the mainstream media fed us during and since that time.

 

Edited to add: And, in case anyone's in any doubt as to the difference in Harper and Ignatieff, the Liberals have voted 71 times in a row (maybe more since I saw that number about 2 weeks ago, I think) to support Conservative government bills. It's hard to see how they're different when they have formed their own coalition.

sighsnootles's picture

sighsnootles

image

hopefully iggys response to

hopefully iggys response to the latest attack ads is to just say 'harper, grow up already' and then change the subject.

GRR's picture

GRR

image

graeme wrote: I agree

graeme wrote:

I agree completely with the analysis above. And it doesn't cheer me at all to say so.

graeme

No fair!! You're not allowed to "agree completely".

GRR's picture

GRR

image

sighsnootles wrote: hopefully

sighsnootles wrote:

hopefully iggys response to the latest attack ads is to just say 'harper, grow up already' and then change the subject.

Publicly, that's about what its amounting to. Privately, he's probably thinking "Thanks Steve, I couldn't get better press if I ... well, I cant' think of a damn thing that would give me better press."

Free_thinker's picture

Free_thinker

image

"And, in case anyone's in any

"And, in case anyone's in any doubt as to the difference in Harper and Ignatieff, the Liberals have voted 71 times in a row (maybe more since I saw that number about 2 weeks ago, I think) to support Conservative government bills."

 

It's not that simple, as much as the NDP likes to huff and puff about defeating the Tory government's bills at any cost.  It was easy for them since they didn't stand to lose anything.  The reality is, parties need money and support to be able to go into an election, and when Harper turned so many otherwise routine HoC bills into confidence motions, the Liberals had little choice.  More importantly, it's not like Canadians wanted another election.  A lot of otherwise noxious bills were stalled in Senate.  Now, the Liberal Party's fortunes are rebounding with better finances and a more competent leader, and the Tories are taking notice.  Harper's days are numbered, hence the desperate attack ads. 

 

 

In politics, you try to make compromises out of bad situations and you don't always get what you want; the inability to understand this is why the Dippers remain a party of perpetual opposition.  The consequence of pretending to be a righteous party which is somehow immune to the calculations of Parliamentary politics is that you don't have a very effective party.  The NDP has maoned on and on about the evils of neo-liberalism, Bush, imperialism, etc., but what have they done to actually change that?  Very little, because they can't win elections.  And of course, it's not their fault, it's because Canadians are too stupid to get them and the because the 'system' is unfair, and so on and so on.  There's a word for this: defeatism. 

  

The NDP spent the past 3 years whining  about Stephen Harper without being able to do anything concrete to stop him.  Now, the Liberals - the party who supposedly sold their souls - will go ahead and do just that.  In an oh-so-delicious irony, it is Righteous Jack who is now unready to fight an election and may well be forced to prop up the Tories.  He might stick to his guns, but if he doesn't, I wouldn't be surprised. 

graeme's picture

graeme

image

It's quite likely that

It's quite likely that Harper's campaign is an acknowledgement that the Liberals are a force again. Certainly he won't want an election. Ignatieff might. Some would grumble, but an election that seemed likely to defeat such an unpopular government might be accepted.

The NDP was more effective, in practical terms, as the CCF. By merely existiing and not acting like a traditional party with all the necessary accomodations and compromises, it was able to force changes. It really hasn't represented as much in the way of chage for a good many years. Wanting power has actually weakened its impact.

graeme

Free_thinker's picture

Free_thinker

image

The NDP was huge in

The NDP was huge in developing the welfare state in Canada, and I definitely think we need a social democratic voice in our public discourse.  What confuses me is just how much of that should be left to a political party instead of civil society organizations that attempt to change public opinion in a way that makes all parties notice.  The strongest ideals are ones that you can't reduce to a single party. 

 

The latter seems like a much more effective way to build consensus across the board, and it's when Social Democratic parties, particularly in Europe, have acted as forums and not just election-winning machines that their ideas have found the greatest audience.  The German and Swedish SD parties were fully-fledged institutions where one could get an education.   In our parties, you go there once you're already educated and have made up your mind about what needs to be done.  The party is a means to meet other like-minded people and win the next election. 

 

 

The paradox of the NDP is that they try to be a party that is above power, and yet still tries to win votes.  That's what throws otherwise progressive people such as myself off: you can't go into Parliament with a holier-than-thou attitude.  If you think it's too dirty for your ideals, then there's other ways to go about achieving the change you want.  This contempt for pragmatism, it's corrosive for both a political party and the ideals it claims to uphold.  It's dispiriting to see so many progressive and idealistic people descend into political fatalism because they've pinned their hopes on a party that doesn't seem interested in winning elections. 

 

And make no mistake, elections matter. 

graeme's picture

graeme

image

We're getting close to

We're getting close to agreement. Trying to win elections and trying to change minds are incompatible goals. you win elections, for the most part, by going where people are, not by bringing them to where  you are. That's why Obama as a president looks a hell of a lot like George bush as a president.

I think there can be a political role. but it can't be one concerned mainly with getting elected.

graeme

Motheroffive's picture

Motheroffive

image

Free_thinker wrote: The NDP

Free_thinker wrote:

The NDP was huge in developing the welfare state in Canada, and I definitely think we need a social democratic voice in our public discourse.  What confuses me is just how much of that should be left to a political party instead of civil society organizations that attempt to change public opinion in a way that makes all parties notice.  The strongest ideals are ones that you can't reduce to a single party. 

The only way to get bring about change to government programs that are inadequate, such as EI, or to introduce new ones, is through legislation. Civil society organizations do a marvelous job of creating the political will, across society, to enable governments to draft legislation and for our MPs to support those bills but they do not themselves, bring about the desired changes in legislation. Political parties and politicians do this -- that's their job and is what we elect them for.

 

Free_thinker wrote:
 

The paradox of the NDP is that they try to be a party that is above power, and yet still tries to win votes.  That's what throws otherwise progressive people such as myself off: you can't go into Parliament with a holier-than-thou attitude.  If you think it's too dirty for your ideals, then there's other ways to go about achieving the change you want.  This contempt for pragmatism, it's corrosive for both a political party and the ideals it claims to uphold.  It's dispiriting to see so many progressive and idealistic people descend into political fatalism because they've pinned their hopes on a party that doesn't seem interested in winning elections. 

That may very well be your impression but the NDP seriously wants to gain power so as to bring about changes that support people. Again, we can talk about EI, protection of our water (which SH just stripped away in the Budget Bill and which Ignatieff supported), support for seniors, post-secondary students (have you talked to anyone with a student loan lately?), losses in the struggle for equality for women, protection of immigrants, etc.

 

I think it's terribly funny every time I hear Jack Layton mocked or derided for "wanting power"...what do you think running for office is all about? Stephen Harper "wants power", Michael Ignatieff "wants power" and so does Gilles Duceppe, in a different way. You want he should run to lose? This is a silly argument as politics is about those who gain power directing the agenda. That is not to say that the agenda of the NDP is the same as the right-wing Conservatives and Liberals but nevertheless, why run at all, if not for power, or at least, some influence within the process?

 

Free_thinker wrote:
 

And make no mistake, elections matter. 

 

On this, we agree.

Free_thinker's picture

Free_thinker

image

"That's why Obama as a

"That's why Obama as a president looks a hell of a lot like George bush as a president."

 

 

I don't understand how anyone who has been paying attention over the past 100 and so days can say something like this.  From removing the ban on stem-cell research, to enacting a massive pro-environment stimulus bill to turning more land into National Parks than Bush did during his entire Presidency, Obama is doing things that were unthinkable less than a year ago.  He's not magic, but he's pretty darn close. 

graeme's picture

graeme

image

well, let's see. Obama wil

well, let's see. Obama wil not withdraw from Iraq, it seems, but will keep some 50,000 troops who, by the  magice of words, will not be combat. And Bush's plan was?

Obama has increased the troops in AFghanistan. And Bush's plan was?

Obama has as extended the war into Pakistaan/ And Bush's plan was?

Obama tries to hold back Israel without alienating it, and also delivers threats to Iran. And Bush's plan was?

Obama will not introduce medicare, but will simply ask the health care industry to keep costs down? And bush would have?

Bush is throwing hundreds of billions at banks, etc., while keepinig much the same gang in charge taht Bush had. Gee. I dunno. I'm happy for stem cell research  but....

 

graeme

 

graeme

 

 

graeme's picture

graeme

image

well, let's see. Obama wil

well, let's see. Obama wil not withdraw from Iraq, it seems, but will keep some 50,000 troops who, by the  magice of words, will not be combat. And Bush's plan was?

Obama has increased the troops in AFghanistan. And Bush's plan was?

Obama has as extended the war into Pakistaan/ And Bush's plan was?

Obama tries to hold back Israel without alienating it, and also delivers threats to Iran. And Bush's plan was?

Obama will not introduce medicare, but will simply ask the health care industry to keep costs down? And bush would have?

Bush is throwing hundreds of billions at banks, etc., while keepinig much the same gang in charge taht Bush had. Gee. I dunno. I'm happy for stem cell research  but....

 

graeme

 

graeme

 

 

graeme's picture

graeme

image

well, let's see. Obama wil

well, let's see. Obama wil not withdraw from Iraq, it seems, but will keep some 50,000 troops who, by the  magice of words, will not be combat. And Bush's plan was?

Obama has increased the troops in AFghanistan. And Bush's plan was?

Obama has as extended the war into Pakistaan/ And Bush's plan was?

Obama tries to hold back Israel without alienating it, and also delivers threats to Iran. And Bush's plan was?

Obama will not introduce medicare, but will simply ask the health care industry to keep costs down? And bush would have?

Bush is throwing hundreds of billions at banks, etc., while keepinig much the same gang in charge taht Bush had. Gee. I dunno. I'm happy for stem cell research  but....

 

graeme

 

graeme

 

 

Back to Politics topics